Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012812 0.015669 0.019292 0.024340 0.031389 0.041207 0.056560
2025-02-16 0.009332 0.012475 0.017022 0.024458 0.037174 0.060063 0.110802
2025-02-23 0.007529 0.010625 0.015491 0.024357 0.041959 0.081105 0.203276
2025-03-02 0.006208 0.009074 0.013831 0.023175 0.043884 0.098549 0.335082
2025-03-09 0.005369 0.008077 0.012787 0.022660 0.046868 0.122645 0.605518
2025-03-16 0.004858 0.007516 0.012352 0.023181 0.052739 0.165540 1.430951
2025-03-23 0.004406 0.006970 0.011809 0.023258 0.057589 0.216080 3.942372
2025-03-30 0.003934 0.006314 0.010914 0.022210 0.058374 0.251181 10.302390
2025-04-06 0.003586 0.005839 0.010300 0.021674 0.060703 0.305769 55.798445
2025-04-13 0.003381 0.005607 0.010148 0.022310 0.068119 0.434773 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003276 0.005550 0.010365 0.024063 0.082306 0.753568 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003155 0.005445 0.010448 0.025473 0.097116 1.345644 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002929 0.005126 0.010046 0.025460 0.106275 2.238668 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002733 0.004850 0.009712 0.025626 0.118084 4.387690 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002551 0.004581 0.009339 0.025520 0.128692 9.378255 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002345 0.004236 0.008718 0.024261 0.128448 14.843686 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002190 0.003989 0.008313 0.023714 0.134412 35.865655 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002092 0.003856 0.008189 0.024268 0.153488 495.536001 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001987 0.003697 0.007970 0.024350 0.168874 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001856 0.003465 0.007514 0.023234 0.167309 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001753 0.003291 0.007198 0.022665 0.172929 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001695 0.003215 0.007151 0.023341 0.200784 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001670 0.003214 0.007325 0.025207 0.262088 NaN NaN